Model Projections

Discussion

• CNN-LSTM demonstrates lower 95% MPI under both profiles in the 2006-2020 period.
• Model output for single point exhibit lower uncertainty than output of 2d grid.
• Highest uncertainty exhibited in Summer for Single Point CNN-LSTM and Winter for 2d Grid CNN-LSTM.
• Projections indicate slight decreases in solar availability under the RCP8.5 scenario at all sites until 2090, with a slight increase under the profile in the final decade of 2100.

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Deep Dive: Chapter 6.

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Downscaling Global Climate Models with Convolutional and Long-Short-Term Memory Networks for Solar Energy Applications by C.P. Davey is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.