Model Uncertainty

Mean Prediction Interval

• Data sets used for uncertainty analysis include:
  • Test data between 1988 and 2006.
  • Projection data between 2006 and 2020.
• Assessment of uncertainty performed for two representative concentration pathways RCP4.5 and RCP8.5.

CNN-LSTM exhibits lower 95% MPI than GLM model on test data and projections.

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Deep Dive: Chapter 5.

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Downscaling Global Climate Models with Convolutional and Long-Short-Term Memory Networks for Solar Energy Applications by C.P. Davey is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.